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Red150
23362.5
52251.6
75913.4
Blue70
39524.8
35437.4
59617.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1357605010015020025015070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
Unranked
62.50.5
62.963.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 25.2
354
Unranked
37.40.5
38.438.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
522
Unranked
51.60.7
52.152.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 26.8
395
Unranked
24.80.3
25.525.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
759
Unranked
13.40.8
13.914.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
596
Unranked
17.90.3
18.618.3
Auto
Teleop
End