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Red60
34823.2
69430.5
80627.7
Blue80
45334.5
26331.4
64015.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84930501502002503003504006080

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
Unranked
30.50.8
31.730.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.0
453
Unranked
34.50.4
38.538.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
806
Unranked
27.70.8
28.928.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
263
Unranked
31.40.3
34.434.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
348
Unranked
23.20.6
24.123.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.0
640
Unranked
15.10.4
19.519.0
Auto
Teleop
End