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Red90
134013.5
26331.4
Blue65
42110.9
55526.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions473402060801001201409065

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
263
Unranked
31.43.7
28.632.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
555
Unranked
26.63.7
21.925.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1340
Unranked
13.55.6
16.922.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
421
Unranked
10.93.7
13.317.0
Auto
Teleop
End