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Red45
69430.5
139622.9
Blue10
7434.7
122416.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions342304060801001204510

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
Unranked
30.51.6
18.720.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.3
1224
Unranked
16.21.7
14.412.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1396
Unranked
22.91.6
13.715.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.2
743
Unranked
4.71.7
9.47.6
Auto
Teleop
End