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Red45
37112.9
64015.1
Blue40
134013.5
35437.4
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334202060801001201404540

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
640
Unranked
15.11.4
13.114.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 22.2
354
Unranked
37.40.1
22.622.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
371
Unranked
12.91.4
20.822.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1340
Unranked
13.50.1
18.017.9
Auto
Teleop
End