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Red80
45334.5
122416.2
Blue35
75913.4
134013.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5439020801001201408035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
453
Unranked
34.53.4
35.538.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.0
1340
Unranked
13.50.7
15.915.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1224
Unranked
16.23.4
17.020.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
759
Unranked
13.40.7
25.024.2
Auto
Teleop
End