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Red20
12115.7
134013.5
Blue5
3354.8
3319.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30330206080100120140160205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1340
Unranked
13.53.4
13.516.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
331
Unranked
9.03.5
14.811.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1211
Unranked
5.71.2
11.810.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
335
Unranked
4.83.5
18.114.6
Auto
Teleop
End