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Red25
37112.9
42110.9
Blue105
55526.6
80627.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2548040608010012025105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
371
Unranked
12.90.3
16.516.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.9
806
Unranked
27.76.4
22.528.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
421
Unranked
10.90.3
11.210.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.7
555
Unranked
26.66.4
23.329.7
Auto
Teleop
End