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Red40
26331.4
146222.1
Blue25
69430.5
7118.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6641020801001201401604025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
263
Unranked
31.41.8
36.234.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
694
Unranked
30.52.0
33.831.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1462
Unranked
22.12.5
27.224.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.0
711
Unranked
8.02.0
10.18.0
Auto
Teleop
End