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Red30
100123.6
124815.7
Blue45
100832.9
85938.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions355102060801001201403045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1001
Unranked
23.60.8
16.115.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.2
859
Unranked
38.80.5
24.223.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1248
Unranked
15.70.8
20.519.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.2
1008
Unranked
32.90.4
24.924.5
Auto
Teleop
End