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Red125
14137.4
27640.5
Blue15
102221.4
112214.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions663505010015020012515

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
276
Unranked
40.57.3
26.633.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.1
1022
Unranked
21.42.9
25.822.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
141
Unranked
37.44.7
36.240.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.8
1122
Unranked
14.62.9
12.39.4
Auto
Teleop
End