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Red70
30644.2
69513.2
Blue100
112646.8
127838.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5348010020030040070100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
306
Unranked
44.21.6
37.238.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
1126
Unranked
46.86.4
31.537.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
695
Unranked
13.22.2
15.417.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 25.1
1278
Unranked
38.36.4
17.423.8
Auto
Teleop
End