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Red45
124925.5
15816.9
Blue50
27640.5
102221.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4258020801001201401604550

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1249
Unranked
25.50.2
21.421.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.9
276
Unranked
40.50.7
33.933.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
158
Unranked
16.90.1
22.422.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
1022
Unranked
21.40.8
22.922.0
Auto
Teleop
End