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Red20
12013.1
64211.0
Blue175
19141.0
6754.1
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions277005010015020020175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
120
Unranked
13.11.0
13.612.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 41.0
67
Unranked
54.110.0
42.252.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
642
Unranked
11.01.5
18.016.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 30.0
191
Unranked
41.013.7
23.437.0
Auto
Teleop
End