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Red70
124925.5
96327.8
Blue75
112646.8
127018.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48470204060801001207075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
963
Unranked
27.82.9
23.025.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.0
1126
Unranked
46.83.3
37.540.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1249
Unranked
25.52.9
24.126.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.2
1270
Unranked
18.43.3
10.814.1
Auto
Teleop
End