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Red45
57830.6
64211.0
Blue5
69513.2
123929.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4038010203050607080455

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
578
Unranked
30.60.4
29.429.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
1239
Unranked
29.34.2
25.821.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
642
Unranked
11.00.6
10.811.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
695
Unranked
13.24.2
12.58.3
Auto
Teleop
End