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Red60
6327.3
57830.6
Blue15
127413.3
9649.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6027040801001201401606015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
578
Unranked
30.60.2
29.730.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.3
1274
Unranked
13.31.9
19.017.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
63
Unranked
27.30.2
27.027.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.7
964
Unranked
9.61.9
11.49.5
Auto
Teleop
End