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Red15
64211.0
138614.2
Blue125
112646.8
85938.8
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions237705010015015125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1386
Unranked
14.21.7
15.914.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 32.5
1126
Unranked
46.86.8
35.942.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
642
Unranked
11.01.7
12.711.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 27.8
859
Unranked
38.86.8
35.141.9
Auto
Teleop
End