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Red125
19141.0
27943.0
Blue15
89111.3
54127.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions804105010015012515

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
279
Unranked
43.03.7
41.345.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.7
541
Unranked
27.33.8
30.026.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
191
Unranked
41.06.1
34.941.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 29.7
891
Unranked
11.33.8
15.111.3
Auto
Teleop
End