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Red40
131020.7
131226.3
Blue25
108817.9
132510.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514002060801001204025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1312
Unranked
26.31.2
23.722.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.4
1088
Unranked
17.92.0
26.424.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1310
Unranked
20.71.2
25.824.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.0
1325
Unranked
10.72.0
14.712.7
Auto
Teleop
End