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Red30
100622.7
141920.8
Blue35
61035.2
130916.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions486401001502003035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1006
Unranked
22.71.5
29.628.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.5
610
Unranked
35.22.0
40.238.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1419
Unranked
20.82.5
20.117.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
1309
Unranked
16.03.4
21.918.5
Auto
Teleop
End