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Red0
127511.0
106311.3
Blue5
140423.9
114126.4
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294105010015005

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1063
Unranked
11.33.8
12.38.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.1
1141
Unranked
26.44.3
21.617.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1275
Unranked
11.03.4
11.014.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.9
1404
Unranked
23.910.0
23.913.8
Auto
Teleop
End