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Qual 1252004 Greater Toronto Regional
Red20
63941.9
135316.8
Blue5
103611.4
29622.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77430100150205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
639
Unranked
41.96.7
52.1→45.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 19.4
296
Unranked
22.53.1
27.0→23.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1353
Unranked
16.86.7
21.3→14.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.4
1036
Unranked
11.45.2
19.8→14.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—