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Red40
124418.2
133012.4
Blue25
127511.0
90710.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272004060804025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1244
Unranked
18.21.7
15.016.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.3
1275
Unranked
11.00.6
11.111.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1330
Unranked
12.41.7
11.513.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
907
Unranked
10.90.6
9.410.0
Auto
Teleop
End