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Red30
128113.5
104913.5
Blue65
141110.7
77228.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions284402060801003065

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1049
Unranked
13.50.0
12.212.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.1
772
Unranked
28.61.7
29.731.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1281
Unranked
13.50.0
17.517.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
1411
Unranked
10.72.7
12.615.3
Auto
Teleop
End