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Red70
70334.4
82021.6
Blue25
78329.1
12919.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5841020801001201407025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
703
Unranked
34.41.0
36.537.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
783
Unranked
29.11.3
31.229.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
820
Unranked
21.61.7
19.921.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.0
1291
Unranked
9.62.1
11.79.6
Auto
Teleop
End