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Red105
133424.2
111449.9
Blue75
84342.2
131020.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions786105010015010575

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1114
Unranked
49.92.2
52.654.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.7
843
Unranked
42.20.9
41.342.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1334
Unranked
24.23.4
23.226.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
1310
Unranked
20.71.4
21.623.0
Auto
Teleop
End