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Red85
133424.2
131226.3
Blue5
12603.6
128113.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37360206080100855

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1312
Unranked
26.32.0
26.324.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.8
1281
Unranked
13.50.8
13.514.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1334
Unranked
24.20.0
24.224.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.6
1260
Unranked
3.610.7
3.614.3
Auto
Teleop
End