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Red25
127511.0
135612.0
Blue120
111449.9
100913.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2853010015020025120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1356
Unranked
12.00.7
16.115.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 37.9
1114
Unranked
49.95.2
40.045.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1275
Unranked
11.00.7
14.413.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
1009
Unranked
13.28.7
10.519.2
Auto
Teleop
End