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Red70
77335.9
134727.8
Blue15
114126.4
122120.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions463202060801001201401607015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
773
Unranked
35.93.2
22.025.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.5
1141
Unranked
26.42.3
17.214.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1347
Unranked
27.83.2
22.825.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.6
1221
Unranked
20.22.3
16.514.2
Auto
Teleop
End