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Red45
18835.4
141110.7
Blue20
135316.8
133012.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413602060801001201404520

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188
Unranked
35.40.5
22.322.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.6
1353
Unranked
16.80.6
16.816.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1411
Unranked
10.78.1
10.718.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
1330
Unranked
12.43.7
12.416.1
Auto
Teleop
End