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Red0
129516.5
122917.9
Blue40
105319.3
106311.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions412106080100120040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1229
Unranked
17.94.8
18.914.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
1053
Unranked
19.32.2
16.118.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1295
Unranked
16.54.8
19.915.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
1063
Unranked
11.32.2
6.68.7
Auto
Teleop
End