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Red45
11098.6
133424.2
Blue140
77335.9
63941.9
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions226105010015045140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1334
Unranked
24.22.3
22.224.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.7
639
Unranked
41.910.4
31.842.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1109
Unranked
8.62.3
4.36.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 27.3
773
Unranked
35.910.4
25.135.5
Auto
Teleop
End