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Red30
104913.5
2228.1
Blue15
12919.6
139215.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283902060801001201401603015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22
Unranked
28.10.1
21.121.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.7
1392
Unranked
15.42.9
22.519.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1049
Unranked
13.50.1
8.28.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
1291
Unranked
9.62.9
15.712.8
Auto
Teleop
End