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Red70
75819.0
141920.8
Blue20
135316.8
91912.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions453302060801001207020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1419
Unranked
20.83.3
19.122.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
1353
Unranked
16.81.8
20.318.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
758
Unranked
19.03.3
24.427.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.3
919
Unranked
12.71.8
13.711.9
Auto
Teleop
End