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Red100
77335.9
131226.3
Blue10
106311.3
121927.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions602605010015020010010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
773
Unranked
35.95.4
35.540.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.2
1219
Unranked
27.72.5
21.218.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1312
Unranked
26.35.4
20.926.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.9
1063
Unranked
11.32.5
8.76.2
Auto
Teleop
End