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Red70
104913.5
78329.1
Blue20
78121.5
88613.6
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions344401001502007020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
783
Unranked
29.12.6
26.429.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.6
781
Unranked
21.52.8
23.720.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1049
Unranked
13.54.4
8.312.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
886
Unranked
13.62.8
19.016.2
Auto
Teleop
End