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Red50
13558.2
11125.8
Blue40
12919.6
128113.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28260102040506070805040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1355
Unranked
8.22.9
12.815.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
1281
Unranked
13.51.6
14.516.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1112
Unranked
5.82.9
14.217.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.8
1291
Unranked
9.61.6
12.814.4
Auto
Teleop
End