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Red80
135316.8
100622.7
Blue110
108817.9
111449.9
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4174010015020080110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1006
Unranked
22.73.0
25.628.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 27.1
1114
Unranked
49.92.9
49.252.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1353
Unranked
16.84.5
18.623.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
1088
Unranked
17.94.9
21.526.4
Auto
Teleop
End