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Red85
18835.4
106311.3
Blue5
12603.6
100913.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions412206080100120140855

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188
Unranked
35.43.4
31.034.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.3
1009
Unranked
13.22.4
18.416.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1063
Unranked
11.35.7
8.113.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.8
1260
Unranked
3.62.4
5.53.1
Auto
Teleop
End