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Red60
63941.9
3351.8
11125.8
Blue55
101029.1
77228.6
8659.8
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115670501001502002503006055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
Unranked
51.81.3
54.553.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.6
1010
Unranked
29.10.4
30.430.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
639
Unranked
41.91.8
45.844.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.3
772
Unranked
28.60.4
29.929.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1112
Unranked
5.81.8
9.77.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.0
865
Unranked
9.80.7
11.811.1
Auto
Teleop
End