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Red100
108730.8
95633.5
Blue35
144111.4
131819.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4035010015020010035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
956
Unranked
33.57.5
19.326.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.5
1318
Unranked
19.10.0
18.018.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1087
Unranked
30.87.5
20.327.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.4
1441
Unranked
11.40.0
17.217.2
Auto
Teleop
End