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Red0
137833.6
95528.8
Blue10
115121.7
130112.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34330206080100120140010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1378
Unranked
33.64.3
21.617.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.9
1151
Unranked
21.72.9
14.811.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
955
Unranked
28.84.3
12.78.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.7
1301
Unranked
12.12.9
18.715.7
Auto
Teleop
End