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Red85
141626.2
47354.2
Blue95
49240.7
137833.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414601001502002503003508595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
473
Unranked
54.25.5
24.830.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.5
492
Unranked
40.76.2
28.034.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1416
Unranked
26.25.5
16.421.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.4
1378
Unranked
33.66.2
17.323.5
Auto
Teleop
End