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Red50
125822.5
95633.5
Blue45
142513.0
141626.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39380501001502005045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
956
Unranked
33.51.3
28.229.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.3
1416
Unranked
26.20.8
21.922.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1258
Unranked
22.51.3
11.112.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.5
1425
Unranked
13.00.8
16.517.3
Auto
Teleop
End