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Red90
135937.0
113023.8
Blue10
105619.0
130112.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions533301001502002503003504009010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1359
Unranked
37.04.9
31.836.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.0
1056
Unranked
19.03.2
22.118.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1130
Unranked
23.84.9
18.723.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.7
1301
Unranked
12.13.2
13.510.3
Auto
Teleop
End