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Red30
143215.9
129416.5
Blue70
75333.0
135937.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27760501001502002503003504003070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1294
Unranked
16.50.4
16.916.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.5
1359
Unranked
37.00.0
37.837.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1432
Unranked
15.90.4
16.115.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.0
753
Unranked
33.00.0
32.332.3
Auto
Teleop
End