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Red30
130112.1
95528.8
Blue90
99731.5
125822.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434210203050607080903090

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
955
Unranked
28.81.6
25.624.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
997
Unranked
31.56.0
24.330.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1301
Unranked
12.11.6
17.115.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.4
1258
Unranked
22.56.0
17.823.8
Auto
Teleop
End