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Red60
108730.8
125822.5
Blue135
95746.7
48824.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5153020408010012014016060135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1087
Unranked
30.80.9
29.830.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.9
957
Unranked
46.79.6
37.046.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1258
Unranked
22.50.9
21.622.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
488
Unranked
24.48.9
15.424.4
Auto
Teleop
End