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Quarterfinal 3-12004 Philadelphia Regional
Red75
5664.4
139140.3
80934.0
Blue125
35838.8
8742.8
111336.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17212805010015020025030035075125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56
Unranked
64.42.3
74.1→71.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 21.6
87
Unranked
42.80.2
47.0→46.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1391
Unranked
40.32.3
49.9→47.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.4
358
Unranked
38.80.2
43.0→42.8
Auto—
Teleop—
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Third
809
Unranked
34.02.3
43.7→41.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.7
1113
Unranked
36.70.3
42.7→42.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—